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 3.      Handbook,p596,24.5这个题目不是很理解,感觉不是严密,求解
  EXAMPLE 24.5:CREDIT VAR FOR ONE BOND
  A risk analyst is trying to estimate the credit VAR for a risky bond. The credit VAR is defined as the maximum unexpected loss at a confidence level of 99.9% over a one-month horizon. Assume that the bond is valued at $1,000,000 one month forward, and the one-year cumulative default probability is 2% for this bond. What is the best estimate of the credit VAR for the bond, assuming no recovery?
  A.     $20,000
  B.     $1,682
  C.     $998,318
  D.     $0
  Answer: C
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