COURSE 8: Investment - 1 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE
  November 2000
  Morning Session
  November 2000
  Course 8V
  Society of Actuaries
  COURSE 8: Investment - 2 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE
  November 2000
  Morning Session
  ** BEGINNING OF EXAMINATION **
  MORNING SESSION
  Questions 1 – 3 pertain to the Case Study.
  Each question should be answered independently.
 
  1. (10 points) The Board of Directors of LifeCo was recently given a presentation on the
  paper by Robert van der Meer and Meye Smink, Strategies and Techniques for Asset-
  Liability Management: An Overview. As the newly appointed Chief Risk Officer for
  LifeCo, the Board has asked you to give a presentation.
  (a) Categorize and describe the ALM strategies and techniques employed by LifeCo
  within the framework provided by van der Meer and Smink.
  (b) Assess the relative merits or return-driven versus value-driven strategies for
  LifeCo.
  (c) Formulate an ALM strategy for LifeCo (from the framework provided by
  van der Meer and Smink) that reduces the total company exposure to interest rate
  risk and provides an opportunity to increase company surplus.
  (d) Evaluate your proposed strategy using the criteria set out in the paper by
  van der Meer and Smink.
  COURSE 8: Investment - 3 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE
  November 2000
  Morning Session
  Questions 1 – 3 pertain to the Case Study.
  Each question should be answered independently.
 
  2. (9 points) LifeCo management wants to segment the Group line of business for
  asset/liability management purposes into:
  (i) Long Term Disability (LTD), and
  (ii) Other A&H.
  The newly allocated balance sheet for LTD is shown below:
  Present Value Modified Duration Adjusted Duration
  Assets 550.9 13.5 11.00
  Liabilities 532.0 8.1 5.37
  Economic Value 18.9 169.47
  The Relative Volatility of assets for Other A&H is the same as for LTD. The Relative
  Volatility of liabilities for Other A&H is 1.
  (a) Construct the new Other A&H allocated balance sheet.
  (b) Assess the limitations of only using the above measures in managing interest rate
  risk.
  (c) Contrast the use of Adjusted Duration with the measures used by LifeCo to
  manage its exposure to interest rate risk.
  (d) The portfolio manager for the Group line of business argues that Franchise Value
  should be considered in the liability target duration calculation. Define Franchise
  Value.
  (e) Explain the implications of using Franchise Value for determining target
  durations.
  COURSE 8: Investment - 4 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE
  November 2000
  Morning Session
  Questions 1 – 3 pertain to the Case Study.
  Each question should be answered independently.
 
  3. (22 points) LifeCo wants to establish a delta/gamma/vega/rho hedge on the equity
  exposure of their variable annuity business, using positions in some or all of the
  following assets.
  Asset Price Delta Gamma Vega Rho
  S&P 500 Future 0 100 0 0 0
  30-year Treasury
  bond future
  0 0 0 0 -12,598
  1-year Put 51.98 -0.34608 0.00184 3.688 -3.98
  1-year Call 109.45 0.65392 0.00184 3.688 5.45
  10-year Put 42.88 -0.10529 0.00029 5.761 -14.82
  10-year Call 489.57 0.89472 0.00029 5.761 40.51
  LifeCo’s liabilities have the following sensitivities:
  Delta – 2,659.90
  Gamma 1.036
  Vega 1952
  Rho – 101,910,000
  All deltas and gammas are per unit change in the S&P 500 index.
  Vegas are per 1% change in volatility
  Rhos are per 1% change in interest rates
  Current value of the S&P 500 is 1300
  (a) (6 points) Construct a hedge position using the above assets that minimizes the
  cost of the hedge without regard to the operational guidelines.
  (b) (1 point)
  (i) Assess whether the hedge determined in part (a) would be in violation of the
  operational guidelines for use of derivatives.
  (ii) Recommend any necessary changes to the guidelines.
  COURSE 8: Investment - 5 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE
  N
  ovember 2000
  Morning Session
  3. (Continued)
  (c) (6 points)
  (i) Calculate the 1-day, 99%VAR on the portfolio, before and after the hedge is
  applied using delta and gamma to approximate it.
  (ii) Assess the validity of these numbers.
  (d) (4 points) LifeCo is worried about the liquidity of the 30-year Treasury bond
  future.
  (i) Analyse the effectiveness of the proposed hedges with respect to rho.
  (ii) Propose alternative methods and alternative assets to improve rho exposure
  coverage.
  (e) (5 points) The newly appointed Chief Risk Officer is concerned about the use of
  derivatives in the hedging strategy. Verify that the operational and credit risks of
  managing derivatives have been adequately covered by LifeCo’s operational
  guidelines for use of derivatives.
  COURSE 8: Investment - 6 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE
  November 2000
  Morning Session
 
  4. (6 points) You have the following market information:
  ? Price of a 2-year zero coupon bond: 89
  ? 1-year short rate i0 b g: 7%
  A new actuarial student in your company has implemented an interest rate model to price
  interest rate derivatives. His model gives the following results:
  Sample space i1
  w1 6.0%
  w 2 8.0%
  (a) Describe the different types of model risk that must be considered when building
  or using a model.
  (b) Explain the concept of arbitrage-free in the context of an interest rate model for
  pricing derivatives.
  (c) Assess the validity of the proposed model given the information above.
 
  5. (4 points)
  (a) Describe how the following factors will generally impact the Option-Adjusted
  Spread (OAS) of a Planned Amortization Class (PAC) for a typical PAC bond.
  (i) Average life of the PAC
  (ii) Premium versus discount collateral
  (iii) Lockout versus no lockout
  (iv) Window length
  (v) Whether or not a Z-bond funds the PAC
  (b) Describe the shortcomings associated with OAS in *uating mortgage-backed
  securities.
  (c) Describe how you would use OAS, considering the shortcomings.
  COURSE 8: Investment - 7 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE
  November 2000
  Afternoon Session
 
  6. (5 points) You are given the following information on a European put option on a bond:
  ? Put option
  ? Maturity of option 1 year
  ? Strike price level 1000
  ? Underlying bond
  ? Cash price 1000
  ? Present value of bond coupon payments 100
  ? 1 year forward yield volatility 10%
  ? Modified duration 10 years
  ? Forward yield 7%
  ? Risk-free rates are flat at 5.13%
  (a) Calculate the price of this option using Black’s model. Show your work.
  (b) Contrast alternatives for calculating delta and gamma for this option with a stock
  option.
 
  7. (4 points)
  (a) Describe the psychological factors that prevent rational investment decisionmaking.
  (b) List five major anomalies which the standard paradigm of rationality fails to
  explain. Give an example for each case and specify the key behavioral factors
  that explain such anomalies.
  ** END OF EXAMININATION **
  MORNING SESSION
  COURSE 8: Investment - 8 - GO ON TO NEXT PAGE
  November 2000
  Afternoon Session
  ** BEGINNING OF EXAMINATION **
  AFTERNOON SESSION
  Beginning with question 8
  高顿网校之名人心得:婴儿在母亲怀抱中哺育成长,从母亲获得最初的感情和思想……可以说精心培养儿童心灵的是妇女,是伟大的母亲。